Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.002217 0.002342 0.002474 0.002624 0.002793 0.002977 0.003194
2025-03-02 0.002008 0.002176 0.002363 0.002589 0.002858 0.003173 0.003578
2025-03-09 0.001847 0.002037 0.002256 0.002532 0.002877 0.003305 0.003896
2025-03-16 0.001774 0.001989 0.002244 0.002577 0.003014 0.003590 0.004451
2025-03-23 0.001712 0.001944 0.002227 0.002609 0.003133 0.003862 0.005042
2025-03-30 0.001635 0.001874 0.002172 0.002583 0.003165 0.004013 0.005480
2025-04-06 0.001554 0.001792 0.002093 0.002517 0.003131 0.004056 0.005747
2025-04-13 0.001496 0.001737 0.002046 0.002488 0.003145 0.004172 0.006166
2025-04-20 0.001409 0.001640 0.001937 0.002364 0.003006 0.004022 0.006041
2025-04-27 0.001374 0.001609 0.001914 0.002362 0.003050 0.004180 0.006576
2025-05-04 0.001362 0.001607 0.001930 0.002415 0.003184 0.004513 0.007613
2025-05-11 0.001332 0.001580 0.001910 0.002413 0.003229 0.004690 0.008360
2025-05-18 0.001319 0.001576 0.001925 0.002468 0.003380 0.005114 0.010077
2025-05-25 0.001282 0.001538 0.001889 0.002442 0.003391 0.005259 0.011089
2025-06-01 0.001240 0.001493 0.001840 0.002394 0.003356 0.005302 0.011795
2025-06-08 0.001227 0.001486 0.001848 0.002435 0.003489 0.005750 0.014668
2025-06-15 0.001212 0.001476 0.001848 0.002464 0.003603 0.006190 0.018482
2025-06-22 0.001184 0.001446 0.001819 0.002441 0.003611 0.006363 0.021221
2025-06-29 0.001148 0.001404 0.001769 0.002381 0.003542 0.006312 0.022222
2025-07-06 0.001123 0.001376 0.001740 0.002355 0.003537 0.006443 0.025406
2025-07-13 0.001077 0.001318 0.001663 0.002243 0.003349 0.006016 0.022055
2025-07-20 0.001061 0.001302 0.001650 0.002241 0.003387 0.006260 0.026822
2025-07-27 0.001057 0.001305 0.001666 0.002289 0.003537 0.006889 0.042768